Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 197.228243 228.417927 264.030666 307.937091 360.931860 423.232652 502.607890
2025-09-14 148.058954 185.155416 231.683345 295.144888 380.729092 494.020058 658.539174
2025-09-21 124.709649 164.346811 217.402598 295.174459 408.973356 573.842133 839.373633
2025-09-28 109.586482 150.507768 208.196835 297.873063 438.332400 658.185811 1046.242553
2025-10-05 102.717395 146.509492 211.275057 317.674300 495.600626 796.149024 1378.374575
2025-10-12 96.305529 141.932621 212.293884 333.704439 549.135995 939.669552 1766.529342
2025-10-19 87.460524 132.292942 203.783289 332.165075 571.409001 1031.735863 2084.404031
2025-10-26 82.183622 127.546900 202.334468 342.151163 616.111594 1177.047929 2570.072207
2025-11-02 76.807075 121.927770 198.542263 347.035059 651.588302 1312.160740 3086.552189
2025-11-09 72.303143 117.228449 195.656097 352.967906 690.132288 1464.006878 3713.671304
2025-11-16 67.432169 111.345589 189.876644 352.213713 714.049037 1588.165292 4322.380033
2025-11-23 63.047351 105.871955 184.184277 350.693972 735.842487 1713.184357 4998.694331
2025-11-30 59.064755 101.191876 180.314635 354.376796 775.692181 1912.373766 6102.442637
2025-12-07 53.389957 92.861789 168.513194 339.332676 767.596604 1980.176572 6796.084405
2025-12-14 49.940377 88.384064 163.808408 339.370043 798.170878 2174.664599 8167.492204
2025-12-21 47.169668 84.918584 160.711307 342.562478 838.158107 2416.378906 9990.630111
2025-12-28 46.389837 85.293059 165.675375 366.017037 941.952858 2923.838488 13770.519891
2026-01-04 45.236728 84.772352 168.619441 385.042518 1039.063774 3462.986407 18586.261089
2026-01-11 42.648553 81.005734 163.874761 383.214085 1070.553813 3762.068655 22335.706747
2026-01-18 41.213599 79.538641 164.183478 395.080709 1151.277609 4321.277905 29218.922698
2026-01-25 39.498273 77.298320 162.415384 400.888837 1213.456142 4839.198200 37052.739442
2026-02-01 37.986567 75.362974 161.145723 407.948356 1283.064980 5445.991983 47628.810801
2026-02-08 36.152017 72.542367 157.400395 407.050701 1322.753018 5926.976343 58440.501117